Despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions, it’s been a calm week so far, which isn’t surprising given the lack of events on the economic calendar. However, things will change from today; volatility is expected to increase following the outcome of the FED meeting.
The March FOMC meeting concludes today, and markets are looking forward to Jerome Powell's remarks. The US central bank is anticipated to maintain a cautious tone during the meeting, with no actual rate adjustments expected today. According to CME FedWatch data, there's a 99% chance the Fed will keep interest rates steady in the 3.5–3.75% range at its March 18 meeting. Traders will pay close attention to the Fed's dot plot, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks, and the FOMC's updated estimates for interest rates, inflation, and the economy.
Powell's speech seems more important
With inflation risks once again dominating the policy narrative, market participants and investors are closely monitoring Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks and the dot plot update for insights into the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction. Powell is scheduled to hold a press conference 30 minutes after the decision is announced, where investors hope to gain clarity on how the Fed plans to address these challenges.
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